Research
plan 1997-2000
Revised
for 1999-2000
Predicting the
Coastal Marine Environment
Project Leader: Eric Wolanski

The oceans are the common factor of all research
conducted at AIMS. This project provides numerical models of
ocean movement and seawater properties onto which other
studies can be mapped and interlinked.
Scientists in this project employ theoretical, numerical,
and experimental techniques to formulate models that explain
and predict how physical marine environments affect coastal
zone ecosystems. The project deals primarily with ocean
circulation and sea surface oscillations along Australian
tropical continental margins, and thus is supportive of most
research undertaken at AIMS, including work on biological,
chemical and sedimentary processes. The unifying concept is
the understanding of fluxes and balances of mass, energy, heat
and solar radiation at widely varying scales of space and
time.
In particular, this project is concerned with the role of
water circulation, waves and associated mixing processes in
transporting marine organisms, ocean constituents and
pollutants within Australias tropical shelf waters.
State-of-the-art technology is being used to develop
predictive models for these processes. In addition, these
science-based tools are being designed as decision support
systems by incorporating advanced data visualisation
techniques to synthesise layers of complex information in
graphical form.
Goals
- to describe, measure and predict how the physical marine
processes and their long-term variability affect coastal
zones, continental shelf waters and marine ecosystems;
- to provide models which support coastal marine resources
management;
- to provide the oceanographic information which underpins
other AIMS projects.
Sub-projects
Remote sensing of
tropical waters (Leader: William Skirving)
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State-of-the-art
technology is used to collect and interpret data from
satellite, airborne and in situ radiometers to produce
broad-scale maps of ocean conditions. A current priority
is mapping sea surface temperatures for 1998 when
massive coral bleaching was observed throughout most of
the Great Barrier Reef and parts of north Western
Australia. |
Meso-scale
oceanography (Leader: Derek Burrage)
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This
task monitors the ocean currents of East and West coasts
using a combination of moored instruments and satellite
altimetry measures of sea surface height. These
observations are then assimilated with information on
tides and winds into hydrodynamic models that predict
circulation and mixing in the coastal seas. |
Models
of reef fish dispersal (Leader: Richard Brinkman)
|
In
collaboration with biologists, mathematical models are
being developed to predict the distribution and relative
abundance of larval fish near coral reefs. These models
assimilate new information on the swimming and sensory
ability of the larvae into existing models of
circulation. |
Models
for land-sea interactions (Leader: Eric Wolanski)
|
This
study uses a combination of models and observations to
study the discharge of freshwater into the Great Barrier
Reef Lagoon, and to determine the combined impact of
river-born nutrients and sediment on reef corals. |
Coastal
climatology (Leader: Janice Lough)
|
Climate
maps and predictive models of future climates are being
constructed from long-term weather records extracted
from coral cores that predate instrumented records, from
satellite observations of the sea surface, and from an
extensive network of AIMS weather stations that collect
daily information on conditions in the Great Barrier
Reef and north Western Australia. |
Links with
other AIMS projects
Supporting Tropical Fisheries
- models for larval fish dispersal;
- models of currents and mixing processes in the Great
Barrier Reef and the North-West Shelf.
Marine Biogeochemistry of
Contaminants
Sustaining Coral Reefs
- satellite observations of sea surface temperature and
coral bleaching.
Human Impacts on Coastal Marine
Ecology
- hydrodynamic models for predicting the dispersal of
nutrients.
Marine Biotechnology: Mariculture,
Biodiversity and Genetics
- models of larval dispersal and gene flows.
Links with other organisations
James Cook University, CSIRO Marine, National Aeronautics
and Space Administration (NASA), the European Space Agency
(ESA), the Japanese Space Agency (NASDA), the European
Community (Marine Science and Technology Program) and the
National Institute of Water and Air (NIWA, New Zealand).
Links with strategic directions

1998/99 funding base
Total budget $1,127,000 (77% appropriation; 23%
external)
Major external sources:
CRC for the Great Barrier Reef World Heritage Area
Orbimage (USA)
Scientific staff
Research scientists: Derek
Burrage, Katharina Fabricius (20%), Janice Lough (40%), Eric
Wolanski (60%).
Scientific support: Richard
Brinkman, John Carleton (50%), Felicity McAllister, Mark
Rehbein, William Skirving, Craig Steinberg.
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